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Bansko vs Bistritsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Bansko and Bistritsa finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bistritsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bansko
15%
Draws
0%
Bistritsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bansko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bistritsa haven't matched Bansko's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bansko a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bansko Clean Sheet 20%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bansko Bistritsa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.45 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Bistritsa
0:5
Aug 9, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Bansko
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Bistritsa
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Bansko
0:1
Jun 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Bansko
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bansko 85 / 100
Bistritsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bansko Bistritsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bansko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistritsa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Bistritsa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bansko scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bansko VS Bistritsa
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bansko

(Home)
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Bansko
05 Sept
Bansko
0 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Bansko
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Bistritsa

(Away)
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0
Bistritsa
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia III
16 May
Levski Sofia II
3 : 0
Bistritsa
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
02 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 0
Bistritsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)