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Bansko vs Bistritsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Bansko and Bistritsa finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bistritsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bansko
6%
Draws
4%
Bistritsa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bansko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bistritsa have managed 0 goals a game lately — Bansko are scoring more at 1.88.
  • Model gives Bansko a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bansko Clean Sheet 20%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bansko Bistritsa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 1
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Bistritsa
0:5
Aug 9, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Bansko
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Bistritsa
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Bansko
0:1
Jun 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Bansko
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bansko 85 / 100
Bistritsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bansko Bistritsa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistritsa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Bistritsa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bansko scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bansko VS Bistritsa
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238