Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Sabin M.
20'
20'
Lasure D.
29'
29'
Kandoussi B.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Barakaldo and Arenteiro finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barakaldo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Barakaldo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Barakaldo a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 68%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barakaldo | Arenteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Arenteiro
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Barakaldo
1:1
Feb 19, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Barakaldo
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Arenteiro
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barakaldo Compare
Top Goalscorer Sabin M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Arenteiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Kandoussi B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barakaldo 95 / 100
Arenteiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barakaldo Arenteiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BRK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arenteiro has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Barakaldo scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Barakaldo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barakaldo VS Arenteiro
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Barakaldo
(Home) 01 Aug
Barakaldo
2 : 0 Mirandes
23 May
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Celta Vigo B
17 May
Real Aviles
1 : 4 Barakaldo
09 May
Barakaldo
2 : 0 AD Merida
01 May
Tenerife
2 : 0 Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Barakaldo
2 : 0 Mirandes
23 May
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Celta Vigo B
09 May
Barakaldo
2 : 0 AD Merida
25 Apr
Barakaldo
3 : 0 Lugo
12 Apr
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Arenteiro
Page 1 of 3
Arenteiro
(Away) 23 May
Lugo
0 : 0 Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1 Ponferradina
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0 Arenteiro
03 May
Arenteiro
0 : 4 Cacereno
25 Apr
Osasuna B
1 : 0 Arenteiro
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0 Arenteiro
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0 Arenteiro
25 Apr
Osasuna B
1 : 0 Arenteiro
12 Apr
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Arenteiro
28 Mar
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1 Arenteiro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
