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Barakaldo vs Leonesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Benito P. A. P.
52'
Jaso Zunzarren A.
64'
Sub
Cardero A. In: Ndiaye A.
Out: Cardero A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Barakaldo
35%
Draws
35%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Leonesa haven't matched Barakaldo's recent run of results.
  • Barakaldo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 20%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barakaldo Leonesa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Leonesa
0:0
May 10, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Barakaldo
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Leonesa
3:0
Mar 15, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Leonesa vs Barakaldo
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Barakaldo vs Leonesa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barakaldo 36 / 100
Leonesa 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barakaldo Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barakaldo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Leonesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Barakaldo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Barakaldo VS Leonesa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barakaldo

(Home)
01 Nov
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Pontevedra
24 Oct
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Barakaldo
17 Oct
Barakaldo
2 : 0
Mirandes
10 Oct
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Barakaldo
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa

(Away)
01 Nov
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Leonesa
27 Oct
Gimnastica Segoviana
0 : 1
Leonesa
24 Oct
Leonesa
1 : 2
Pontevedra
18 Oct
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Leonesa
12 Oct
Leonesa
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 10 8 1 1 18:9 25
2 UD Logrones 10 6 2 2 20:13 20
3 Mirandes 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
4 Racing Club Ferrol 10 5 2 3 9:7 17
5 CD Extremadura 10 5 1 4 19:10 16
6 Ath Bilbao B 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Pontevedra 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
8 Cacereno 10 4 3 3 9:8 15
9 Real Aviles 10 4 2 4 18:13 14
10 Ponferradina 10 3 5 2 6:6 14
11 Real Union 10 3 4 3 19:17 13
12 AD Merida 10 4 1 5 16:14 13
13 Leonesa 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
14 Zamora 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
15 Barakaldo 10 2 5 3 8:10 11
16 Deportivo Fabril 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 10 3 1 6 12:18 10
18 CD Coria 10 2 3 5 12:17 9
19 UD Ourense 10 2 2 6 4:15 8
20 Arenas Getxo 10 2 2 6 8:22 8
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)