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Barakaldo vs Leonesa

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Benito P. A. P.
52'
Jaso Zunzarren A.
64'
Sub
Cardero A. In: Ndiaye A.
Out: Cardero A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Barakaldo
30%
Draws
47%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Leonesa haven't matched Barakaldo's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 20%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barakaldo Leonesa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.34 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Leonesa
0:0
May 10, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Barakaldo
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Leonesa
3:0
Mar 15, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Leonesa vs Barakaldo
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Barakaldo vs Leonesa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barakaldo 32 / 100
Leonesa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barakaldo Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barakaldo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Leonesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Barakaldo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barakaldo VS Leonesa
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barakaldo

(Home)
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
21 Aug
Atletico Astorga
1 : 1
Leonesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Ath Bilbao B 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Real Union 4 2 1 1 12:8 7
4 Lugo 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Mirandes 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 Pontevedra 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
7 Cacereno 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
8 Racing Club Ferrol 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 Ponferradina 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
10 Deportivo Fabril 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
11 Real Aviles 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
12 Zamora 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
13 Leonesa 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
14 CD Coria 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
15 Barakaldo 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 CD Extremadura 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
17 AD Merida 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 4 1 0 3 7:11 3
19 Arenas Getxo 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
20 UD Ourense 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)