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Barakaldo vs Mirandes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barakaldo host Mirandes in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. This one's hard to separate. Barakaldo have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Mirandes's 1.21 scored and 1.43 conceded. Head-to-head, Barakaldo have won 1 to Mirandes's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.38) point toward Barakaldo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Barakaldo
30%
Draws
47%
Mirandes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mirandes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Barakaldo have won more games recently than Mirandes.
  • Model gives Barakaldo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 17%
Mirandes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barakaldo Mirandes
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Barakaldo vs Mirandes
2:0
Jul 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Barakaldo vs Mirandes
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Barakaldo vs Mirandes
1:1
Jan 23, 2019 Copa Federacion
Mirandes vs Barakaldo
2:0
Jan 9, 2019 Copa Federacion
Barakaldo vs Mirandes
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barakaldo 36 / 100
Mirandes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barakaldo Mirandes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirandes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Barakaldo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Barakaldo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barakaldo VS Mirandes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barakaldo

(Home)
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

Mirandes

(Away)
04 Oct
Ponferradina
1 : 0
Mirandes
27 Sept
Mirandes
1 : 0
Unionistas de Salamanca
19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2
Mirandes
12 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 4
Mirandes
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)