Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barakaldo vs Pontevedra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barakaldo host Pontevedra in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Pontevedra have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Barakaldo have conceded 0.96 and scored 1.29. Past meetings favor Pontevedra slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.25) back Pontevedra to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Barakaldo
35%
Draws
32%
Pontevedra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Pontevedra haven't matched Barakaldo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Barakaldo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pontevedra here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 19%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barakaldo Pontevedra
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Barakaldo
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Pontevedra
0:1
Feb 28, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Pontevedra
0:1
Oct 11, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Barakaldo
1:0
Mar 25, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Barakaldo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barakaldo 49 / 100
Pontevedra 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barakaldo Pontevedra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barakaldo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barakaldo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pontevedra let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Barakaldo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Barakaldo VS Pontevedra
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barakaldo

(Home)
17 Oct
Barakaldo
2 : 0
Mirandes
10 Oct
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Barakaldo
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

Pontevedra

(Away)
18 Oct
Pontevedra
1 : 0
Cacereno
11 Oct
Pontevedra
1 : 2
AD Merida
03 Oct
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 0
Pontevedra
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1
Ponferradina
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 UD Logrones 8 5 2 1 17:11 17
3 Racing Club Ferrol 8 5 1 2 9:5 16
4 Real Union 9 3 4 2 19:14 13
5 AD Merida 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
6 Ath Bilbao B 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
7 Zamora 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
8 Leonesa 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
9 Cacereno 8 3 3 2 7:5 12
10 Ponferradina 8 3 3 2 6:6 12
11 Real Aviles 8 3 2 3 14:10 11
12 Pontevedra 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
13 Mirandes 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
14 CD Extremadura 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
15 Barakaldo 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
16 Deportivo Fabril 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
17 CD Coria 8 2 2 4 12:16 8
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
19 UD Ourense 8 1 2 5 3:13 5
20 Arenas Getxo 8 0 2 6 5:22 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)