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Barakaldo vs Real Union

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Huidobro J.
15' Event
Tellechea M.
33' Event
Valino A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Barakaldo
20%
Draws
40%
Real Union
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Real Union have won more games recently than Barakaldo.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Barakaldo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 15%
Real Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barakaldo Real Union
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.43 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Barakaldo vs Real Union
3:3
Feb 2, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Real Union
0:2
Oct 13, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Union vs Barakaldo
1:1
Aug 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Real Union vs Barakaldo
0:1
Feb 13, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Barakaldo vs Real Union
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barakaldo Compare

Top Goalscorer Huidobro J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molina E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Real Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Tellechea M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Louakima C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barakaldo 48 / 100
Real Union 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barakaldo Real Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barakaldo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barakaldo's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Real Union conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Barakaldo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barakaldo VS Real Union
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barakaldo

(Home)
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0
Barakaldo
12 Aug
Barakaldo
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
01 Aug
Barakaldo
2 : 0
Mirandes
23 May
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Celta Vigo B
17 May
Real Aviles
1 : 4
Barakaldo
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Real Union

(Away)
12 Aug
Real Union
3 : 0
Osasuna B
08 Aug
Real Union
1 : 1
Eibar
01 Aug
Pau
1 : 2
Real Union
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Zaragoza B
3 : 1
Real Union
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