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Barau vs Ikorodu City

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Moses U.
65'
Sub
Moses U. In: Ibrahim Y.
Out: Moses U.
65'
Sub
Umar M. In: Kwame A. N.
Out: Umar M.

AI Match Summary

The NPFL game between Barau and Ikorodu City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Barau
33%
Draws
27%
Ikorodu City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Barau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ikorodu City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Barau a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ikorodu City here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Barau Clean Sheet 18%
Ikorodu City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barau Ikorodu City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Federation Cup
Ikorodu City vs Barau
3:2
Feb 2, 2026 NPFL
Barau vs Ikorodu City
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 NPFL
Ikorodu City vs Barau
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barau Compare

Top Goalscorer Moses U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ikorodu City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barau 40 / 100
Ikorodu City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barau Ikorodu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ikorodu City let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Barau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Barau scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barau VS Ikorodu City
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barau

(Home)
11 Jun
Ikorodu City
3 : 2
Barau
06 Jun
Sunshine Stars U19
1 : 2
Barau
01 Jun
Barau
1 : 0
Abakaliki
24 May
Barau
3 : 0
Nasarawa United
10 May
Shooting
1 : 0
Barau
Page 1 of 6

Ikorodu City

(Away)
17 Jun
Nasarawa United
1 : 2
Ikorodu City
11 Jun
Ikorodu City
3 : 2
Barau
06 Jun
Ikorodu City
2 : 1
Enyimba International
01 Jun
Ikorodu City
2 : 0
Jigawa Golden Stars
24 May
Ikorodu City
1 : 2
Rangers International
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rangers International381911847:2768
2Rivers United381910944:3167
3Shooting381861441:4060
4Ikorodu City3816101243:3958
5Bendel3814141044:3856
6Nasarawa United381681437:3456
7Abia Warriors381671531:3455
8Barau3813131234:3052
9Katsina Utd3814101436:3952
10Plateau United381551839:4050
11Enyimba International3813101544:4249
12Kun Khalifa3813101542:4049
13Warri Wolves3813101536:4149
14Niger Tornadoes381391637:3648
15Kano Pillars381561734:3948
16Kwara3813111432:3647
17Remo Stars381451942:4747
18El Kanemi Warriors381381727:4647
19Bayelsa United3811101737:4243
20Wikki Tourists389131636:4840
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)