Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baraunas vs Santa Cruz de Natal

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Everton Lino
32' Event
de Oliveira P. C.

AI Match Summary

Baraunas host Santa Cruz de Natal in the Potiguar 2024. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Santa Cruz de Natal have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Baraunas have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Baraunas have won 0 to Santa Cruz de Natal's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2025, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.94 - 1.13) back Santa Cruz de Natal to edge this. Santa Cruz de Natal in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baraunas
6%
Draws
4%
Santa Cruz de Natal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baraunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Baraunas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santa Cruz de Natal.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Baraunas.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Potiguar 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Baraunas Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz de Natal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baraunas Santa Cruz de Natal
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 Potiguar
Santa Cruz de Natal vs Baraunas
4:2
Apr 3, 2024 Potiguar
Baraunas vs Santa Cruz de Natal
1:1
Mar 8, 2018 Potiguar
Baraunas vs Santa Cruz de Natal
1:2
Feb 5, 2018 Potiguar
Santa Cruz de Natal vs Baraunas
2:0
Apr 2, 2017 Potiguar
Baraunas vs Santa Cruz de Natal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baraunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Lino
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Santa Cruz de Natal Compare

Top Goalscorer de Oliveira P. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baraunas 95 / 100
Santa Cruz de Natal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baraunas Santa Cruz de Natal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baraunas scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Santa Cruz de Natal let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Baraunas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz de Natal lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baraunas VS Santa Cruz de Natal
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Cruz de Natal42116:57
2America RN41305:26
3Potyguar Seridoense40225:92
4Globo FC40221:62
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Potiguar de Mossoró43107:310
2ABC40312:33
3Baraunas42209:32
4CE Forca E Luz40224:82