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Barbados U17 vs Mexico U17

World World

World Cup U17 2025 FMF Asociación, Toluca
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Ortiz V.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Tejeda S.
52' Event
Rangel J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Mexico U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Barbados U17
15%
Draws
42%
Mexico U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barbados U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mexico U17 come out ahead of Barbados U17 on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mexico U17 taking it.
  • Mexico U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U17, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Barbados U17 Clean Sheet 19%
Mexico U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados U17 Mexico U17
Matches Played 18 42
Wins 5 27
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.44 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.94 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.84 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 World Cup U17
Barbados U17 vs Mexico U17
1:4
Feb 13, 2025 World Cup U17
Barbados U17 vs Mexico U17
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbados U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.18
Avg xA / game 1.42

Mexico U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer De Nigris A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tejeda S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados U17 10 / 100
Mexico U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados U17 Mexico U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Barbados U17's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Barbados U17 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mexico U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 42 matches.

Scoring Trends

Barbados U17 VS Mexico U17
3.8 Goals Scored 0.88
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.88
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 63%
80% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbados U17

(Home)
12 Feb
Saint Martin U17
0 : 6
Barbados U17
09 Feb
Barbados U17
1 : 4
Mexico U17
07 Feb
Barbados U17
7 : 1
Sint Maarten U17
03 Feb
Trinidad & Tobago U17
0 : 1
Barbados U17
16 Feb
Belize U17
3 : 4
Barbados U17
Page 1 of 4

Mexico U17

(Away)
12 Feb
Mexico U17
2 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago U17
09 Feb
Barbados U17
1 : 4
Mexico U17
07 Feb
Mexico U17
4 : 0
Saint Martin U17
05 Feb
Sint Maarten U17
0 : 10
Mexico U17
18 Nov
Mexico U17
0 : 5
Portugal U17
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 4 4 0 0 28:2 12
2 Curacao U17 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
3 Bermuda U17 4 2 0 2 10:14 6
4 Turks and Caicos Islands U17 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
5 Anguilla U17 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U17 4 3 1 0 21:2 10
2 Trinidad & Tobago U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Guyana U17 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 British Virgin Islands U17 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Sint Maarten U17 4 0 0 4 0:28 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U17 4 3 1 0 19:2 10
2 Nicaragua U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
3 Barbados U17 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
4 Belize U17 4 1 0 3 10:8 3
5 Dominica U17 4 0 0 4 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Puerto Rico U17 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Saint Martin U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Bonaire U17 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti U17 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Guatemala U17 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Antigua and Barbuda U17 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 3 3 0 0 31:0 9
2 Cuba U17 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Saint Kitts and Nevis U17 3 1 0 2 10:12 3
4 United States Virgin Islands U17 3 0 0 3 5:37 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama U17 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Dominican Republic U17 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Aruba U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Grenada U17 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Jamaica U17 3 2 0 1 14:4 6
3 Saint Lucia U17 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Cayman Islands U17 3 0 0 3 1:23 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)