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Barbados vs Dominican Republic Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Romero D.
Assist: de Lucas L.
15'
Azcona E.
21' Event
Reyes E.
Assist: Vasquez R.

AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic in this CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dominican Republic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Barbados
20%
Draws
40%
Dominican Republic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dominican Republic have won more games recently than Barbados.
  • Win probability leans Barbados's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dominican Republic have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Barbados Clean Sheet 18%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados Dominican Republic
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.78 2.32
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Barbados
5:2
Oct 14, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs Dominican Republic
0:5
Jun 4, 2021 World Championship
Dominican Republic vs Barbados
1:1
Mar 29, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Dominican Republic vs Barbados
2:0
Sep 26, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Barbados vs Dominican Republic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbados Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reyes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados 67 / 100
Dominican Republic 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados Dominican Republic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barbados Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Barbados's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Dominican Republic has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Barbados remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barbados VS Dominican Republic
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbados

(Home)
03 Oct
Barbados
4 : 1
Bermuda
28 Sept
Guadeloupe
2 : 2
Barbados
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0
Saint Lucia
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
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Dominican Republic

(Away)
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4
Haiti
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2
Nicaragua
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadeloupe 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Sint Maarten 6 2 0 4 6:15 6
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nicaragua 6 5 1 0 17:1 16
2 Dominican Republic 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Montserrat 6 3 0 3 9:14 9
4 Barbados 6 0 0 6 7:26 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 French Guiana 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 3 0 3 13:14 9
3 Bermuda 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Belize 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guyana 5 5 0 0 20:5 15
2 Puerto Rico 6 4 0 2 22:10 12
3 Antigua and Barbuda 6 1 1 4 9:22 4
4 Bahamas 5 0 1 4 7:21 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)