Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barbados vs Haiti

World World

World Championship 2026 Wildey Turf, Bridgetown
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Deedson L.
Assist: Nazon D.
33'
Brathwaite N.
45'
Bynoe R.

AI Match Summary

Haiti in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haiti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Barbados
15%
Draws
42%
Haiti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barbados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haiti lately — more wins on the board than Barbados.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Haiti have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Barbados Clean Sheet 12%
Haiti Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados Haiti
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.72 2.32
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 World Championship
Barbados vs Haiti
1:3
Oct 10, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Haiti vs Barbados
4:2
Jan 15, 2007 Caribbean Cup
Barbados vs Haiti
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbados Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid-Stephen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Haiti Compare

Top Goalscorer Deedson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lacroix D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados 35 / 100
Haiti 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados Haiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haiti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Barbados scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Haiti conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Haiti has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barbados VS Haiti
1.2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbados

(Home)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
Page 1 of 6

Haiti

(Away)
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0
Haiti
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
03 Jun
Haiti
4 : 0
New Zealand
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Bermuda 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
3 Cuba 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Cayman Islands 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Antigua and Barbuda 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 2 1 1 16:7 7
3 Grenada 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
5 Bahamas 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
3 Saint Lucia 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
4 Aruba 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
5 Barbados 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Nicaragua 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Guyana 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
4 Montserrat 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
5 Belize 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Guatemala 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
4 Dominica 4 1 0 3 5:14 3
5 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suriname 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 El Salvador 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
3 Puerto Rico 4 2 1 1 10:2 7
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)