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Barbados W vs Bermuda W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Nolan A.
47' Event
Forde A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Barbados W
15%
Draws
51%
Bermuda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bermuda W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bermuda W have won more games recently than Barbados W.
  • Win probability leans Bermuda W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bermuda W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bermuda W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Barbados W Clean Sheet 10%
Bermuda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbados W Bermuda W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2.34 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Bermuda W vs Barbados W
4:2
Oct 27, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Barbados W vs Bermuda W
1:1
May 25, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women
Bermuda W vs Barbados W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbados W Compare

Top Goalscorer Forde A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Bermuda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nolan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbados W 10 / 100
Bermuda W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbados W Bermuda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Barbados W scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Bermuda W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Barbados W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barbados W VS Bermuda W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbados W

(Home)
18 Apr
Honduras W
4 : 0
Barbados W
01 Mar
El Salvador W
13 : 0
Barbados W
01 Dec
Barbados W
0 : 5
Trinidad & Tobago W
21 Sept
Saint Lucia W
1 : 2
Barbados W
18 Sept
Barbados W
7 : 0
Dominica W
Page 1 of 7

Bermuda W

(Away)
07 Jun
Bermuda W
1 : 0
Belize W
04 Jun
Bermuda W
4 : 0
Belize W
18 Apr
Bermuda W
5 : 3
Grenada W
03 Mar
Bermuda W
0 : 8
Costa Rica W
02 Dec
Guatemala W
4 : 1
Bermuda W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guyana W 6 5 0 1 20:2 15
2 Suriname W 6 4 0 2 17:2 12
3 Antigua and Barbuda W 6 1 1 4 3:8 4
4 Dominica W 6 1 1 4 2:30 4
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador W 6 6 0 0 24:2 18
2 Martinique W 6 2 1 3 7:15 7
3 Nicaragua W 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
4 Honduras W 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic W 6 5 0 1 24:3 15
2 Bermuda W 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
3 Barbados W 6 1 1 4 11:19 4
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W 6 1 0 5 4:26 3
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)