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Barbalha vs Atletico Cearense

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Inaldao, Barbalha
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lima B.
14' Event
Gean
28'
Foguinho

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Atletico Cearense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Barbalha
44%
Draws
20%
Atletico Cearense
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Cearense have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Barbalha are scoring more at 0.67.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Barbalha, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Barbalha Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbalha Atletico Cearense
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.67 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.83 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Cearense 2
Barbalha vs Atletico Cearense
1:4
Mar 8, 2024 Cearense
Barbalha vs Atletico Cearense
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 Cearense
Atletico Cearense vs Barbalha
3:2
Feb 16, 2024 Cearense
Atletico Cearense vs Barbalha
0:0
Feb 14, 2021 Cearense
Barbalha vs Atletico Cearense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbalha Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalvan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Atletico Cearense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gean
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbalha 36 / 100
Atletico Cearense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbalha Atletico Cearense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Cearense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Barbalha's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Atletico Cearense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barbalha VS Atletico Cearense
0.67 Goals Scored 0.63
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbalha

(Home)
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
13 May
Barbalha
0 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
03 May
Barbalha
1 : 0
Icasa
19 Apr
Crato
1 : 0
Barbalha
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Cearense

(Away)
13 Jun
AE Altos
3 : 2
Atletico Cearense
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
17 May
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Caucaia1
Guarani de Juazeiro2
Barbalha1
Atletico Cearense4