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Barbalha vs Cariri FC

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2025 Inaldao, Barbalha
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Dalvan
41'
Joao Afonso
45' Event
Fabricio Recife

AI Match Summary

Barbalha in this Cearense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barbalha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Barbalha
17%
Draws
70%
Cariri FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cariri FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cariri FC lately — more wins on the board than Barbalha.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Cariri FC taking it.
  • Regular Cearense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Barbalha Clean Sheet 22%
Cariri FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbalha Cariri FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Cearense 2
Barbalha vs Cariri FC
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Cearense 2
Cariri FC vs Barbalha
4:1
Feb 22, 2025 Cearense
Cariri FC vs Barbalha
1:1
Jan 23, 2025 Cearense
Barbalha vs Cariri FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbalha Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabricio Recife
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erikin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cariri FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalvan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbalha 16 / 100
Cariri FC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbalha Cariri FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barbalha scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Cariri FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Cariri FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Barbalha VS Cariri FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbalha

(Home)
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
13 May
Barbalha
0 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
03 May
Barbalha
1 : 0
Icasa
19 Apr
Crato
1 : 0
Barbalha
Page 1 of 6

Cariri FC

(Away)
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
13 May
Barbalha
0 : 0
Cariri FC
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
25 Apr
Icasa
0 : 1
Cariri FC
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ceara550012:315
2Maracana52126:47
3Horizonte51315:66
4Floresta EC51227:85
5Cariri FC50052:210
Promotion - Cearense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortaleza540113:312
2Tirol52218:38
3Ferroviario52128:77
4Iguatu51227:55
5Barbalha51136:144
Promotion - Cearense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2025 (Relegation)