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Barbalha vs Guarani de Juazeiro

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Inaldao
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Dalvan

AI Match Summary

Barbalha in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barbalha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Barbalha
33%
Draws
40%
Guarani de Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Guarani de Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani de Juazeiro have won more games recently than Barbalha.
  • Model gives Guarani de Juazeiro a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Barbalha Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbalha Guarani de Juazeiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Barbalha
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Cearense 2
Barbalha vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:0
Mar 2, 2023 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Barbalha
1:4
Feb 26, 2023 Cearense
Barbalha vs Guarani de Juazeiro
0:1
Feb 7, 2023 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Barbalha
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbalha Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalvan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbalha 28 / 100
Guarani de Juazeiro 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbalha Guarani de Juazeiro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barbalha's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Guarani de Juazeiro conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Barbalha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barbalha VS Guarani de Juazeiro
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124