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Barbalha vs Icasa

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Inaldao, Barbalha
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Romarinho

AI Match Summary

Barbalha in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barbalha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Barbalha
30%
Draws
47%
Icasa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Icasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Icasa have won more games recently than Barbalha.
  • Win probability leans Icasa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Icasa have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Barbalha Clean Sheet 18%
Icasa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barbalha Icasa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Cearense 2
Barbalha vs Icasa
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Barbalha
1:0
Feb 17, 2021 Cearense
Barbalha vs Icasa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barbalha Compare

Top Goalscorer Romarinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Icasa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barbalha 10 / 100
Icasa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barbalha Icasa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ICA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barbalha scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Icasa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Solid form: Barbalha remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barbalha VS Icasa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barbalha

(Home)
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
13 May
Barbalha
0 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
03 May
Barbalha
1 : 0
Icasa
19 Apr
Crato
1 : 0
Barbalha
Page 1 of 6

Icasa

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)