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Barcelona EC vs Buzios

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
dos Santos M.
(Penalty)
33' Event
dos Santos M.
41' Event
Cleiton

AI Match Summary

Buzios in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buzios.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Barcelona EC
15%
Draws
45%
Buzios
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buzios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Barcelona EC haven't matched Buzios's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Buzios's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Barcelona EC Clean Sheet 10%
Buzios Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona EC Buzios
Matches Played 21 24
Wins 5 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.48 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Carioca C
Barcelona EC vs Buzios
0:7
Jun 8, 2025 Carioca C
Buzios vs Barcelona EC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Buzios Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleiton
3 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona EC 10 / 100
Buzios 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona EC Buzios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Buzios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 24 matches.

Solid form: Barcelona EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Barcelona EC scored in 37% of their last 19 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona EC VS Buzios
0.63 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona EC

(Home)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
Barcelona EC
0 : 7
Buzios
08 Jun
Uni Souza
2 : 0
Barcelona EC
Page 1 of 5

Buzios

(Away)
26 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 1
Buzios
23 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 2
Buzios
19 Jul
Buzios
3 : 0
Barra Mansa
12 Jul
Buzios
1 : 1
Rio Barra
06 Jul
Rio Barra
0 : 1
Buzios
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)