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Barcelona EC vs Itaborai Profute

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Mon, Jul 6, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barcelona EC host Itaborai Profute in the Carioca C. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Itaborai Profute have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Barcelona EC have conceded 2.13 and scored 0.38. Head-to-head, Barcelona EC have won 0 to Itaborai Profute's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.63, favoring Itaborai Profute. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Barcelona EC
22%
Draws
60%
Itaborai Profute
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Itaborai Profute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Itaborai Profute haven't matched Barcelona EC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Itaborai Profute's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Barcelona EC Clean Sheet 14%
Itaborai Profute Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona EC Itaborai Profute
Matches Played 21 8
Wins 5 1
Draws 1 3
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Carioca C
Itaborai Profute vs Barcelona EC
0:0
Jul 6, 2026 Carioca C
Barcelona EC vs Itaborai Profute
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona EC 19 / 100
Itaborai Profute 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona EC Itaborai Profute

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itaborai Profute let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Barcelona EC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Itaborai Profute has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Barcelona EC scored in 37% of their last 19 games.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona EC VS Itaborai Profute
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Mageense-
EC Vera Cruz-
Itaborai Profute-
Barcelona EC-
Uniao Central5
Caac Brazil3
Ceres-
Independente RJ-