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Barcelona EC vs Itaborai Profute

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Mon, Jul 6, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Itaborai Profute have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Barcelona EC have conceded 2.57 and scored 0.48. Head-to-head, Barcelona EC have won 0 to Itaborai Profute's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.63, favoring Itaborai Profute. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Barcelona EC
20%
Draws
15%
Itaborai Profute
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barcelona EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Itaborai Profute haven't matched Barcelona EC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Itaborai Profute's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Barcelona EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Barcelona EC Clean Sheet 14%
Itaborai Profute Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona EC Itaborai Profute
Matches Played 21 8
Wins 5 1
Draws 1 3
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.48 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Carioca C
Itaborai Profute vs Barcelona EC
0:0
Jul 6, 2026 Carioca C
Barcelona EC vs Itaborai Profute
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona EC 19 / 100
Itaborai Profute 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona EC Itaborai Profute

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itaborai Profute Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Itaborai Profute conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

Barcelona EC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Itaborai Profute lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Barcelona EC found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (19 games).

Scoring Trends

Barcelona EC VS Itaborai Profute
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona EC

(Home)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
Barcelona EC
0 : 7
Buzios
08 Jun
Uni Souza
2 : 0
Barcelona EC
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Itaborai Profute

(Away)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
07 Jun
Caac Brazil
3 : 1
Itaborai Profute
31 May
Itaborai Profute
1 : 1
Independente RJ
25 May
Uni Souza
1 : 1
Itaborai Profute
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Mageense -
EC Vera Cruz -
Itaborai Profute -
Barcelona EC -
Uniao Central 5
Caac Brazil 3
Ceres -
Independente RJ -