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Barcelona EC vs Rio Barra

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Sun, Aug 10, 2025
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barcelona EC host Rio Barra in the Carioca C 2025. Rio Barra go into this one as the clear favorite. Barcelona EC have averaged 0.48 scored and 2.57 conceded recently, against Rio Barra's 1.1 scored and 1.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Barcelona EC have won 0 to Rio Barra's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 2.06, favoring Rio Barra. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Barcelona EC
20%
Draws
29%
Rio Barra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barcelona EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Barra lately — more wins on the board than Barcelona EC.
  • Model gives Rio Barra a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca C 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Barcelona EC Clean Sheet 10%
Rio Barra Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona EC Rio Barra
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs Barcelona EC
3:0
Aug 10, 2025 Carioca C
Barcelona EC vs Rio Barra
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona EC 10 / 100
Rio Barra 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona EC Rio Barra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Barra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Barra let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Barcelona EC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Barcelona EC scored in 37% of their last 19 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona EC VS Rio Barra
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona EC

(Home)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
Barcelona EC
0 : 7
Buzios
08 Jun
Uni Souza
2 : 0
Barcelona EC
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Rio Barra

(Away)
12 Jul
Buzios
1 : 1
Rio Barra
06 Jul
Rio Barra
0 : 1
Buzios
03 Jul
Rio Barra
1 : 1
Tigres Brasil
28 Jun
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 2
Rio Barra
07 Jun
Rio Barra
0 : 4
Campos AA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)