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Barcelona FC vs Doce Mel

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Bernardo Diniz
18'
Henrique Marcos
46'
Sub
Helsinho In: Mateus Leite
Out: Helsinho

AI Match Summary

Barcelona FC host Doce Mel in the Baiano 2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Doce Mel have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Barcelona FC have conceded 1.63 and scored 0.75. Head-to-head, Barcelona FC have won 2 to Doce Mel's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 29, 2023, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.31, favoring Barcelona FC. Barcelona FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Barcelona FC
44%
Draws
20%
Doce Mel
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Barcelona FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Doce Mel.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Baiano 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Barcelona FC Clean Sheet 18%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona FC Doce Mel
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 12 10
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Baiano
Barcelona FC vs Doce Mel
3:0
Mar 16, 2022 Baiano
Doce Mel vs Barcelona FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Clemente
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Doce Mel Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona FC 36 / 100
Doce Mel 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona FC Doce Mel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona FC scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Doce Mel let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Barcelona FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Doce Mel lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona FC VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahia970212:921
2Jacuipense952213:917
3Juazeirense951312:816
4Itabuna943213:915
5Bahia de Feira934213:1013
6Vitoria933311:1112
7Barcelona FC92438:810
8Alagoinhas92348:89
9Jacobinense92165:137
10Doce Mel90363:133