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Barcelona SC vs Dep. Cuenca

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barcelona SC play Dep. Cuenca in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Barcelona SC averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Dep. Cuenca averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Barcelona SC won 2, Dep. Cuenca won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Barcelona SC and 1.06 for Dep. Cuenca. This points to a Dep. Cuenca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Barcelona SC
22%
Draws
39%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dep. Cuenca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Barcelona SC picked up more points recently compared to Dep. Cuenca.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 22%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SC Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 37 34
Wins 16 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.08 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Barcelona SC
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Barcelona SC
0:1
May 24, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Dep. Cuenca
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Barcelona SC
1:0
Apr 6, 2024 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Dep. Cuenca
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SC 40 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SC Dep. Cuenca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dep. Cuenca or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Barcelona SC attacking → ← attacking Dep. Cuenca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SC scored in 70% of their last 37 games.

Dep. Cuenca let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Barcelona SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Cuenca lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 55
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independiente del Valle16121332:1837
2Dep. Cuenca1683518:1727
3U. Catolica1675426:1426
4Barcelona SC1675418:1326
5Aucas1675419:1626
6LDU Quito1573516:1324
7Orense1564521:1922
8Emelec1664613:1622
9Tecnico U.1662817:1620
10Macara1655615:1820
11Guayaquil City1654714:1919
12Mushuc Runa1646619:2118
13Leones del Norte1645715:1817
14Libertad1645716:2217
15Delfin164488:1516
16Manta1633107:1912