Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barcelona SC vs Macara

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Viera M.
Assist: Campana A. I.
37' Event
Viera M.
Assist: Tello M.
38'
Quinonez Ruiz J. R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Barcelona SC and Macara finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Barcelona SC
35%
Draws
40%
Macara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macara come out ahead of Barcelona SC on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 18%
Macara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SC Macara
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Macara
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs Barcelona SC
3:1
Aug 17, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Macara
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs Barcelona SC
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Macara
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Viera M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SC 36 / 100
Macara 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SC Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barcelona SC scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Barcelona SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Macara has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SC VS Macara
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona SC

(Home)
16 Aug
Mushuc Runa
0 : 0
Barcelona SC
09 Aug
Barcelona SC
1 : 2
Macara
06 Aug
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1
Barcelona SC
02 Aug
Leones del Norte
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
27 Jul
Barcelona SC
0 : 1
LDU Quito
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Macara

(Away)
20 Aug
Macara
0 : 0
Santos
18 Aug
Macara
1 : 1
U. Catolica
13 Aug
Santos
2 : 1
Macara
09 Aug
Barcelona SC
1 : 2
Macara
02 Aug
Macara
2 : 1
Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 26 22 1 3 64:26 67
2 U. Catolica 26 12 7 7 45:23 43
3 Macara 25 12 6 7 33:25 42
4 Aucas 25 12 5 8 29:26 41
5 Barcelona SC 26 10 9 7 28:20 39
6 LDU Quito 25 11 5 9 24:20 38
7 Leones del Norte 26 9 8 9 28:28 35
8 Libertad 25 9 7 9 28:29 34
9 Mushuc Runa 26 8 9 9 32:34 33
10 Guayaquil City 26 8 9 9 25:29 33
11 Emelec 25 8 8 9 21:29 32
12 Dep. Cuenca 26 9 5 12 22:32 32
13 Orense 26 8 6 12 30:39 30
14 Tecnico U. 26 8 2 16 23:37 26
15 Delfin 25 6 6 13 17:27 24
16 Manta 26 4 5 17 12:37 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)