Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona SC

2 - 1

Mushuc Runa

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Ibarra R.

Assist: Minda T.

55'

Vallecilla G.

Assist: Gomez J.

56'

Hernandez J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Barcelona SC in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barcelona SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Barcelona SC

17%

Draws

13%

Mushuc Runa

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Barcelona SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Barcelona SC have won more games recently than Mushuc Runa.
Model gives Barcelona SC a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 68%

Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Barcelona SC	Mushuc Runa
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	13	8
Draws	9	10
Losses	9	10
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Liga Pro

Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Jun 22, 2025 Liga Pro

Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

0:5

Feb 23, 2025 Liga Pro

Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Dec 1, 2024 Liga Pro

Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Jun 2, 2024 Liga Pro

Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vallecilla G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Carabali B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Mushuc Runa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibarra R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SC 77 / 100

Mushuc Runa 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Barcelona SC Mushuc Runa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Mushuc Runa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Barcelona SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SC VS Mushuc Runa

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	19	15	1	3	43:19	46
2	Aucas	19	9	5	5	21:19	32
3	Barcelona SC	19	8	7	4	21:14	31
4	U. Catolica	19	8	5	6	29:18	29
5	Macara	19	8	5	6	20:19	29
6	LDU Quito	19	8	4	7	19:15	28
7	Dep. Cuenca	19	8	4	7	19:21	28
8	Emelec	19	7	6	6	16:17	27
9	Leones del Norte	19	6	6	7	20:20	24
10	Tecnico U.	19	7	2	10	19:20	23
11	Orense	19	6	5	8	22:26	23
12	Guayaquil City	19	6	5	8	17:22	23
13	Mushuc Runa	19	5	6	8	24:29	21
14	Libertad	19	5	6	8	18:25	21
15	Delfin	19	5	5	9	11:18	20
16	Manta	19	3	4	12	7:24	13