Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona SC

1 - 1

U. Catolica

Our Tip

Match Events

40'

Carabali B.

45'

Canga L.

46'

Sub

Villalba H. In: Martinez T.

Out: Villalba H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Barcelona SC

39%

Draws

31%

U. Catolica

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Barcelona SC lately — more wins on the board than U. Catolica.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 68%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Barcelona SC	U. Catolica
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	14	12
Draws	10	7
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga Pro

Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Dec 7, 2025 Liga Pro

Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Nov 2, 2025 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Aug 31, 2025 Liga Pro

Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica

Possession: 52% - 40% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

May 11, 2025 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedetto D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Fajardo J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SC 41 / 100

U. Catolica 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Barcelona SC U. Catolica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SC scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

U. Catolica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Barcelona SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SC VS U. Catolica

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	19	15	1	3	43:19	46
2	U. Catolica	20	9	5	6	31:18	32
3	Aucas	19	9	5	5	21:19	32
4	Barcelona SC	19	8	7	4	21:14	31
5	Macara	20	8	5	7	21:21	29
6	LDU Quito	20	8	4	8	19:16	28
7	Dep. Cuenca	20	8	4	8	19:23	28
8	Leones del Norte	20	7	6	7	21:20	27
9	Emelec	19	7	6	6	16:17	27
10	Tecnico U.	19	7	2	10	19:20	23
11	Orense	19	6	5	8	22:26	23
12	Guayaquil City	19	6	5	8	17:22	23
13	Delfin	20	6	5	9	13:19	23
14	Mushuc Runa	19	5	6	8	24:29	21
15	Libertad	19	5	6	8	18:25	21
16	Manta	19	3	4	12	7:24	13