Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Zampedri F.
Assist: Montes C.
22' Event
Montes C.
Assist: Giani J.
36'
Villalba H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Barcelona SC
30%
Draws
39%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • U. Catolica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • U. Catolica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor U. Catolica, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and U. Catolica have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 17%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcelona SC U. Catolica
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Copa Libertadores
U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC
2:0
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica
1:2
Apr 28, 1993 Copa Libertadores
Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica
0:1
Apr 21, 1993 Copa Libertadores
U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC
3:1
Apr 26, 1967 Copa Libertadores
Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcelona SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Celiz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Zampedri F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montes C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcelona SC 31 / 100
U. Catolica 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcelona SC U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona SC's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

U. Catolica has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Barcelona SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barcelona SC VS U. Catolica
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcelona SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1
Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0
Orense
Page 1 of 6

U. Catolica

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 Ind. Medellin 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Universitario de Deportes 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15:6 16
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Bolivar 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LDU Quito 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 3:7 9
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7:9 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9:1 13
3 Universidad Central 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)