Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Araujo G.
44'
44'
Araujo G.
82'
82'
Silva L.
AI Match Summary
The Paulista B game between Barcelona SP and Itaqua finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itaqua.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itaqua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Itaqua carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Itaqua a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Barcelona SP Clean Sheet 10%
Itaqua Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barcelona SP | Itaqua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 16 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 23 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 0.47 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.73 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2026 Paulista B
Itaqua vs Barcelona SP
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Paulista B
Barcelona SP vs Itaqua
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barcelona SP Compare
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36
Itaqua Compare
Top Goalscorer Araujo G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barcelona SP 10 / 100
Itaqua 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barcelona SP Itaqua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Itaqua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Barcelona SP scored in 33% of their last 30 games.
Itaqua has conceded goals in 56% of their last 16 outings.
Difficult form: Itaqua registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barcelona SP VS Itaqua
0.71 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Barcelona SP
(Home) 20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0 Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5 Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2 Mauaense
31 May
Itaqua
1 : 0 Barcelona SP
23 May
Barcelona SP
2 : 3 Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 6
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5 Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2 Mauaense
23 May
Barcelona SP
2 : 3 Uniao Mogi
16 May
Barcelona SP
1 : 2 Maua FC
25 Apr
Barcelona SP
0 : 2 Itaqua
Page 1 of 3
Itaqua
(Away) 02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3 America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1 Itaqua
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0 Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4 Itaqua
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0 Paulinia FU
Page 1 of 4
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1 Itaqua
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4 Itaqua
28 Jun
Paulinia FU
1 : 3 Itaqua
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1 Itaqua
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Itaqua
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
