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Stadium Background

Barcia vs CD Colunga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Richi F.
59' Event
Ajuchi G.
65' Event
Ajuchi G.

AI Match Summary

CD Colunga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Colunga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Barcia
20%
Draws
16%
CD Colunga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • CD Colunga have won more games recently than Barcia.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Barcia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Barcia Clean Sheet 20%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcia CD Colunga
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 2 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Barcia vs CD Colunga
3:4
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Barcia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajuchi G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Colunga P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

CD Colunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Richi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcia 67 / 100
CD Colunga 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcia CD Colunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: CD Colunga conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.

CD Colunga's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Barcia's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Colunga
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcia

(Home)
11 May
Tuilla
2 : 2
Barcia
04 May
Barcia
1 : 0
Gijon B
01 May
Condal
2 : 0
Barcia
28 Apr
Barcia
3 : 4
CD Colunga
21 Apr
Real Titanico
3 : 1
Barcia
Page 1 of 6

CD Colunga

(Away)
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Gijon Industrial
6 : 2
CD Colunga
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Colunga
2 : 3
EI San Martin
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)