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Barcia vs Tuilla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Fagir I.
67' Event
Fagir I.
73' Event
Fagir I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 game between Barcia and Tuilla finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Barcia
20%
Draws
40%
Tuilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tuilla come out ahead of Barcia on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Barcia Clean Sheet 20%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barcia Tuilla
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 2 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.08
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Barcia
2:2
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Barcia vs Tuilla
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Tuilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagir I.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barcia 36 / 100
Tuilla 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barcia Tuilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Tuilla conceded in 78% of 37 recent games.

Away concern: Tuilla has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Barcia scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tuilla
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barcia

(Home)
11 May
Tuilla
2 : 2
Barcia
04 May
Barcia
1 : 0
Gijon B
01 May
Condal
2 : 0
Barcia
28 Apr
Barcia
3 : 4
CD Colunga
21 Apr
Real Titanico
3 : 1
Barcia
Page 1 of 6

Tuilla

(Away)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)