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Barco vs Sarriana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barco host Sarriana in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Barco have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Sarriana's 1.24 scored and 1.14 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.44, favoring Barco. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Barco
15%
Draws
40%
Sarriana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barco come out ahead of Sarriana on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Barco Clean Sheet 16%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barco Sarriana
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barco 30 / 100
Sarriana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barco Sarriana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barco found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Sarriana conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Barco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Sarriana registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barco VS Sarriana
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barco

(Home)
04 Oct
Barco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
27 Sept
Lalin
1 : 1
Barco
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
Page 1 of 6

Sarriana

(Away)
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)