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Barco vs SD Ordenes

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016 game between Barco and SD Ordenes finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Barco
15%
Draws
0%
SD Ordenes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barco come out ahead of SD Ordenes on wins alone.
  • Model gives Barco a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Barco Clean Sheet 20%
SD Ordenes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barco SD Ordenes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 1
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 1.13 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs SD Ordenes
2:1
Dec 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Ordenes vs Barco
1:1
May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Ordenes vs Barco
1:0
Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs SD Ordenes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barco 85 / 100
SD Ordenes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barco SD Ordenes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Ordenes conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

SD Ordenes lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Barco scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Barco VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barco

(Home)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
Page 1 of 7

SD Ordenes

(Away)
14 May
Villalonga
6 : 0
SD Ordenes
07 May
SD Ordenes
2 : 6
Racing Club Villalbes
30 Apr
SD Ordenes
0 : 2
Arosa SC
23 Apr
Barco
2 : 1
SD Ordenes
13 Apr
SD Ordenes
0 : 3
Silva SD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 38 22 11 5 71:33 77
2 Cerceda 38 22 6 10 64:40 72
3 Deportivo Fabril 38 19 10 9 74:46 67
4 CD Choco 38 17 12 9 57:40 63
5 Racing Club Villalbes 38 15 13 10 51:43 58
6 Barco 38 15 12 11 55:54 57
7 Alondras 38 14 14 10 44:41 56
8 Rapido de Bouzas 38 15 10 13 51:46 55
9 Arosa SC 38 13 15 10 55:48 54
10 CD AS Pontes 38 13 10 15 49:54 49
11 Ribadumia 38 13 9 16 54:51 48
12 SD Negreira 38 11 15 12 47:48 48
13 Silva SD 38 12 12 14 53:56 48
14 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
15 SD Ordenes 38 12 9 17 33:45 45
16 Bergantinos 38 11 10 17 38:43 43
17 Galicia Mugardos 38 10 13 15 48:63 43
18 Ribadeo FC 38 8 11 19 41:68 35
19 Noia 38 8 8 22 28:59 32
20 Verin CF 38 5 16 17 30:54 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)