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Bardejov vs 1. MFK Kezmarok Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - East Mestský štadión Bardejov, Bardejov
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga - East game between Bardejov and 1. MFK Kezmarok finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bardejov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Bardejov
15%
Draws
8%
1. MFK Kezmarok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bardejov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bardejov come out ahead of 1. MFK Kezmarok on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bardejov's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Liga - East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and 1. MFK Kezmarok have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bardejov Clean Sheet 20%
1. MFK Kezmarok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bardejov 1. MFK Kezmarok
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.34 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 3. Liga - East
Bardejov vs 1. MFK Kezmarok
4:3
Aug 24, 2022 Slovak Cup
1. MFK Kezmarok vs Bardejov
2:1
Sep 16, 2020 Slovak Cup
1. MFK Kezmarok vs Bardejov
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bardejov 85 / 100
1. MFK Kezmarok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bardejov 1. MFK Kezmarok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bardejov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bardejov scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

1. MFK Kezmarok let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bardejov stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bardejov VS 1. MFK Kezmarok
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bardejov

(Home)
03 Oct
Lipany
1 : 3
Bardejov
26 Sept
Bardejov
1 : 2
Lokomotiva Kosice
19 Sept
Stropkov
3 : 0
Bardejov
12 Sept
Bardejov
4 : 3
1. MFK Kezmarok
05 Sept
Spisska Nova Ves
0 : 1
Bardejov
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1. MFK Kezmarok

(Away)
03 Oct
1. MFK Kezmarok
0 : 0
Sabinov
26 Sept
Vranov
2 : 0
1. MFK Kezmarok
19 Sept
1. MFK Kezmarok
0 : 3
Lokomotiva Kosice
12 Sept
Bardejov
4 : 3
1. MFK Kezmarok
06 Sept
Snina
3 : 0
1. MFK Kezmarok
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SIM Raslavice 9 6 1 2 14:12 19
2 Lokomotiva Kosice 9 5 3 1 15:4 18
3 Stara Lubovna 9 5 2 2 20:11 17
4 Bardejov 9 5 1 3 16:14 16
5 Spartak Medzev 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Lipany 9 5 1 3 22:11 16
7 Spisska Nova Ves 9 5 1 3 12:10 16
8 FK Poprad 9 5 0 4 14:10 15
9 Stropkov 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
10 Slavia Kosice 9 3 1 5 18:19 10
11 Snina 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
12 Vranov 9 2 1 6 8:24 7
13 Sabinov 9 1 3 5 3:13 6
14 1. MFK Kezmarok 9 0 1 8 4:23 1
Promotion - 2. liga 2027/2028 (Main)