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Bardejov vs Sabinov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - East Mestský štadión Bardejov, Bardejov
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bardejov host Sabinov in the 3. Liga - East. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Bardejov have averaged 2.34 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Sabinov's 1.1 scored and 1.59 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.69 - 1.44) back Bardejov to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Bardejov
30%
Draws
18%
Sabinov
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bardejov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bardejov come out ahead of Sabinov on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bardejov a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Liga - East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bardejov Clean Sheet 16%
Sabinov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bardejov Sabinov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.34 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bardejov 66 / 100
Sabinov 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bardejov Sabinov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bardejov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bardejov scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Sabinov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Bardejov went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sabinov lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bardejov VS Sabinov
2 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bardejov

(Home)
03 Oct
Lipany
1 : 3
Bardejov
26 Sept
Bardejov
1 : 2
Lokomotiva Kosice
19 Sept
Stropkov
3 : 0
Bardejov
12 Sept
Bardejov
4 : 3
1. MFK Kezmarok
05 Sept
Spisska Nova Ves
0 : 1
Bardejov
Page 1 of 6

Sabinov

(Away)
03 Oct
1. MFK Kezmarok
0 : 0
Sabinov
26 Sept
Sabinov
0 : 0
Snina
19 Sept
Spartak Medzev
3 : 0
Sabinov
12 Sept
Sabinov
0 : 0
SIM Raslavice
05 Sept
FK Poprad
2 : 0
Sabinov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SIM Raslavice 9 6 1 2 14:12 19
2 Lokomotiva Kosice 9 5 3 1 15:4 18
3 Stara Lubovna 9 5 2 2 20:11 17
4 Bardejov 9 5 1 3 16:14 16
5 Spartak Medzev 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Lipany 9 5 1 3 22:11 16
7 Spisska Nova Ves 9 5 1 3 12:10 16
8 FK Poprad 9 5 0 4 14:10 15
9 Stropkov 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
10 Slavia Kosice 9 3 1 5 18:19 10
11 Snina 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
12 Vranov 9 2 1 6 8:24 7
13 Sabinov 9 1 3 5 3:13 6
14 1. MFK Kezmarok 9 0 1 8 4:23 1
Promotion - 2. liga 2027/2028 (Main)