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Bardejov vs Vranov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Palacios Romana C.
29' Event
Palo M.
33' Event
Gonzalez Turbay D.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bardejov
20%
Draws
40%
Vranov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bardejov lately — more wins on the board than Vranov.
  • Model gives Bardejov a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Bardejov have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vranov, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vranov have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bardejov Clean Sheet 15%
Vranov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bardejov Vranov
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.33 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 3. Liga - East
Bardejov vs Vranov
1:2
Sep 2, 2026 Slovak Cup
Bardejov vs Vranov
1:2
Aug 27, 2025 Slovak Cup
Bardejov vs Vranov
4:1
Mar 1, 2025 3. Liga - East
Vranov vs Bardejov
4:1
Aug 3, 2024 3. Liga - East
Bardejov vs Vranov
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bardejov Compare

Top Goalscorer De Sa Jungles E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vranov Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios Romana C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bardejov 48 / 100
Vranov 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bardejov Vranov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bardejov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bardejov's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vranov let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Bardejov remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bardejov VS Vranov
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bardejov

(Home)
31 Oct
SIM Raslavice
3 : 1
Bardejov
24 Oct
Bardejov
1 : 1
Sabinov
17 Oct
FK Poprad
3 : 4
Bardejov
10 Oct
Bardejov
1 : 2
Vranov
03 Oct
Lipany
1 : 3
Bardejov
Page 1 of 6

Vranov

(Away)
31 Oct
Vranov
2 : 2
Stara Lubovna
25 Oct
Slavia Kosice
2 : 0
Vranov
17 Oct
Vranov
2 : 0
Sabinov
14 Oct
Vranov
0 : 2
Banska Bystrica
10 Oct
Bardejov
1 : 2
Vranov
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Zavazna Poruba 0
Kysucke Nove Mesto 2
Korna 0
Cadca 7
Ostrovany 2
Kendice 3
Druzstevnik Circ 0
Presov 3
Borsky Mikulas 0
Belusa 2
Kopcany 1
Piestany 8
Rovnost Krajne 1
MSK Puchov 3
Stankovce 0
Spartak Trnava 3
Kovarce 0
Sala 1
Jelka 1
Kostolne Kracany 2
Magura Vavrecka 2
SK Tvrdosin 0
Divina 0
Zilina 8
Iskra Holic 1
Myjava 3
Vycapy Opatovce 1
Galanta 4
Vysoke Tatry 0
FK Poprad 2
Spisske Podhradie 0
Ruzomberok 5
Vinohrad Cebovce 0
Druzstevnik Latky 4
TJD Pribelce 1
FK Pohronie 3
Nitra-Dolne Krskany 0
Nitra 2
Nitra-Chrenova 0
Slovan Bratislava 8
Bernolakovo 0
Raca 3
Rohoznik 0
Samorin 1
Druzstevnik Cicarovce 1
Stropkov 6
Snina 1
FK Humenne 2
Giraltovce 2
Bardejov 6
Zahradne 3
Vranov 4
Hronec 0
Filakovo 4
Lovca 0
Banska Bystrica 2
Cana 0
Lokomotiva Kosice 4
FK Kechnec 0
Slavia Kosice 3
Krasno 2
Podkonice 1
Jednota Banova 0
Trencin 6
Tomasov 3
Gabcikovo 1
Jakubov 1
Inter Bratislava 4
Geca 0
Spisska Nova Ves 4
Rudnany 0
Podbrezova 3
Dynamo Diviaky 1
Nova Bana 3
Priechod 0
Z. Moravce-Vrable 2
Slovan Halic 0
MSK Lucenec 5
Tomasovce 0
Komarno 5
Zitavany 1
Velke Ludince 4
Svaty Peter 0
Dun. Streda 13
Brezno 4
Kalinovo 1
Kovacova 0
Zvolen 4
Partizan Osrblie 1
Tatran Oravske Vesele 2
Oravska Jasenica 0
Povazska Bystrica 2
Hranovnica 1
Harichovce 2
SIM Raslavice 0
FC Kosice 5
Trebatice 0
Boleraz 3
Soporna 2
Malzenice 1
Visnove 0
Namestovo 4
Rosina 0
Bytca 2
FK 05 Levoca 3
Brezovica 2
Gerlachov 0
L. Mikulas 1
Kvasov 2
MSK Martin 5
AFC Nove Mesto 0
Skalica 1
Svaty Jur 5
Malinovo 1
Senkvice 0
Dunajska Luzna 4
Besenov 0
Nove Zamky 2
Nova Dedinka 1
Petrzalka 5
Priehrada 1
Banik Prievidza 3
FC Topolcany 0
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 5
Roznava 1
Spartak Medzev 2
Velke Kapusany 0
Michalovce 3
1/32-finals
Kysucke Nove Mesto 1
Cadca 3
Kendice 0
Presov 8
Belusa 1
Piestany 2
MSK Puchov 1
Spartak Trnava 3
Sala 1
Kostolne Kracany 2
Magura Vavrecka 0
Zilina 5
Myjava 2
Galanta 1
FK Poprad 0
Ruzomberok 2
Druzstevnik Latky 1
FK Pohronie 5
Nitra 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Raca 1
Samorin 2
Stropkov 1
FK Humenne 2
Bardejov 1
Vranov 2
Filakovo 0
Banska Bystrica 2
Lokomotiva Kosice 3
Slavia Kosice 0
Krasno 0
Trencin 2
Tomasov 0
Inter Bratislava 1
Spisska Nova Ves 1
Podbrezova 2
Nova Bana 1
Z. Moravce-Vrable 2
MSK Lucenec 0
Komarno 2
Velke Ludince 3
Dun. Streda 2
Brezno 0
Zvolen 4
Tatran Oravske Vesele 2
Povazska Bystrica 3
Harichovce 0
FC Kosice 7
Boleraz 3
Soporna 1
Namestovo 1
Bytca 0
FK 05 Levoca 0
L. Mikulas 2
MSK Martin 1
Skalica 4
Svaty Jur 2
Dunajska Luzna 1
Nove Zamky 4
Petrzalka 3
Banik Prievidza 1
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 3
Spartak Medzev 0
Michalovce 2
1/16-finals
Cadca 3
Presov 0
Piestany 0
Spartak Trnava 2
Kostolne Kracany 0
Zilina 5
Myjava 0
Ruzomberok 3
FK Pohronie -
Slovan Bratislava -
Samorin 2
FK Humenne 1
Vranov 0
Banska Bystrica 2
Lokomotiva Kosice 0
Trencin 1
Inter Bratislava 0
Podbrezova 2
Z. Moravce-Vrable 1
Komarno 0
Velke Ludince 0
Zvolen 2
Povazska Bystrica 0
FC Kosice 2
Boleraz 2
Namestovo 1
L. Mikulas 0
Skalica 1
Svaty Jur 0
Nove Zamky 3
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 0
Michalovce 3
1/8-finals
Cadca -
Spartak Trnava -
Zilina -
Ruzomberok -
TBD -
Samorin -
Banska Bystrica -
Trencin -
Podbrezova -
Z. Moravce-Vrable -
Zvolen -
FC Kosice -
Boleraz -
Skalica -
Nove Zamky -
Michalovce -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -