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Bare vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Coca
45' Event
Coca
55' Event
Anderson Banana

AI Match Summary

Bare in this Roraimense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bare
6%
Draws
4%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bare lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima).
  • Model gives Bare a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Bare Clean Sheet 20%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bare Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Bare
1:4
Feb 15, 2025 Roraimense
Bare vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
4:0
Mar 30, 2023 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Bare
0:0
Mar 5, 2022 Roraimense
Bare vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0:3
Dec 5, 2020 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Bare
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bare Compare

Top Goalscorer Coca
3 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson Banana
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bare 85 / 100
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bare Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bare scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Bare went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bare VS Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio751123:516
2Bare751119:316
3Monte Roraima742112:414
4Sao Raimundo RR741215:713
5Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)73139:1110
6Nautico FC71159:224
7Atl. Roraima70343:203
8Progresso70251:192