Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barendrecht vs ACV Assen

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sports Centre de Bongerd, Barendrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Lemmen T.
12'
Dijk L.
13' Event
Jongman J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Barendrecht in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barendrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Barendrecht
20%
Draws
52%
ACV Assen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ACV Assen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barendrecht lately — more wins on the board than ACV Assen.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on ACV Assen taking it.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Barendrecht have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%
ACV Assen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barendrecht ACV Assen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs ACV Assen
4:3
Oct 4, 2025 Tweede Divisie
ACV Assen vs Barendrecht
1:5
Jan 25, 2025 Tweede Divisie
ACV Assen vs Barendrecht
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs ACV Assen
2:0
Mar 25, 2023 Derde Divisie
ACV Assen vs Barendrecht
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barendrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Mrowicki O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rimon R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

ACV Assen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemmen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Slor K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barendrecht 10 / 100
ACV Assen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barendrecht ACV Assen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACV Assen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Barendrecht's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

ACV Assen let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Barendrecht went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barendrecht VS ACV Assen
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barendrecht

(Home)
05 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 3
Barendrecht
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2
Katwijk
22 Aug
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 2
Barendrecht
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
04 Aug
SV Poortugaal
2 : 2
Barendrecht
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ACV Assen

(Away)
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3
ACV Assen
02 Sept
ACV Assen
6 : 1
Westlandia
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Aug
HVV Hollandia
0 : 2
ACV Assen
15 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 0
TEC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)