Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barendrecht vs AFC

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sports Centre de Bongerd, Barendrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bayram T.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Fortes E. In: Jouhri N.
Out: Fortes E.
61'
Sub
Monster D. In: Vermeer W.
Out: Monster D.

AI Match Summary

Barendrecht in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barendrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Barendrecht
20%
Draws
51%
AFC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barendrecht lately — more wins on the board than AFC.
  • Model gives AFC a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barendrecht AFC
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.94 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs AFC
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Barendrecht
3:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs AFC
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Barendrecht
2:2
Apr 13, 2019 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Barendrecht
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barendrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Vugts B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

AFC Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barendrecht 26 / 100
AFC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barendrecht AFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barendrecht found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

AFC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Barendrecht remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barendrecht VS AFC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barendrecht

(Home)
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
04 Aug
SV Poortugaal
2 : 2
Barendrecht
23 May
Barendrecht
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
16 May
RKAV Volendam
5 : 2
Barendrecht
09 May
Barendrecht
4 : 2
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 7

AFC

(Away)
15 Aug
AFC
1 : 3
VV Kloetinge
23 May
AFC
2 : 3
Hardenberg
16 May
GVVV
1 : 1
AFC
09 May
AFC
3 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
25 Apr
RKAV Volendam
0 : 3
AFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)