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Barendrecht vs Hardenberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sports Centre de Bongerd, Barendrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Bayram T.
20' Event
Reinders T.
Assist: ten Brinke N.
27'
Mohamedhoesein O.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie game between Barendrecht and Hardenberg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hardenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Barendrecht
30%
Draws
19%
Hardenberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barendrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barendrecht come out ahead of Hardenberg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Barendrecht's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 16%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barendrecht Hardenberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 KNVB Beker
Hardenberg vs Barendrecht
0:1
Aug 15, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Hardenberg
1:3
Jan 17, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Hardenberg
4:1
Aug 23, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Barendrecht
3:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Barendrecht
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barendrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Hardenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinders T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Steenvoorden M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barendrecht 84 / 100
Hardenberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barendrecht Hardenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barendrecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barendrecht scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Hardenberg let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Barendrecht has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barendrecht VS Hardenberg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barendrecht

(Home)
03 Oct
Barendrecht
3 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
26 Sept
Jong Almere City
1 : 4
Barendrecht
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
RKAV Volendam
1 : 1
Barendrecht
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 6

Hardenberg

(Away)
10 Oct
VV Kloetinge
3 : 3
Hardenberg
03 Oct
Hardenberg
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
26 Sept
Quick Boys
2 : 0
Hardenberg
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 9 8 0 1 28:6 24
2 Kozakken Boys 9 6 2 1 25:12 20
3 De Treffers 9 5 3 1 24:9 18
4 IJsselmeervogels 8 5 1 2 12:5 16
5 Hardenberg 9 4 3 2 18:15 15
6 Barendrecht 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
7 AFC 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
8 Spakenburg 9 4 1 4 11:14 13
9 GVVV 8 4 0 4 18:18 12
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 9 3 3 3 24:19 12
11 RKAV Volendam 9 3 3 3 18:19 12
12 Katwijk 9 3 2 4 11:19 11
13 Jong Almere City 9 3 1 5 19:18 10
14 Rijnsburgse Boys 9 3 1 5 16:26 10
15 HSV Hoek 9 2 3 4 11:15 9
16 VV Kloetinge 9 1 4 4 14:24 7
17 Koninklijke HFC 9 1 3 5 11:18 6
18 Rohda Raalte 9 0 1 8 9:31 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)