Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barendrecht vs Hardenberg

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sports Centre de Bongerd, Barendrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Bayram T.
20' Event
Reinders T.
Assist: ten Brinke N.
27'
Mohamedhoesein O.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie game between Barendrecht and Hardenberg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hardenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Barendrecht
30%
Draws
47%
Hardenberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hardenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hardenberg have managed 1.57 goals a game lately — Barendrecht are scoring more at 1.83.
  • Win probability leans Hardenberg's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barendrecht Hardenberg
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Hardenberg
1:3
Jan 17, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Hardenberg
4:1
Aug 23, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Barendrecht
3:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Barendrecht
3:1
Aug 17, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Hardenberg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barendrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hardenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinders T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Steenvoorden M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barendrecht 18 / 100
Hardenberg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barendrecht Hardenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hardenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barendrecht scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Hardenberg let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Barendrecht has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barendrecht VS Hardenberg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barendrecht

(Home)
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
04 Aug
SV Poortugaal
2 : 2
Barendrecht
23 May
Barendrecht
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
16 May
RKAV Volendam
5 : 2
Barendrecht
09 May
Barendrecht
4 : 2
HSV Hoek
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Hardenberg

(Away)
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
08 Aug
Genemuiden
1 : 1
Hardenberg
23 May
AFC
2 : 3
Hardenberg
16 May
Hardenberg
3 : 3
Kozakken Boys
09 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0
Hardenberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Quick Boys 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
4 Jong Almere City 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Hardenberg 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
6 HSV Hoek 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 VV Kloetinge 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
8 IJsselmeervogels 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
9 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Katwijk 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 AFC 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Koninklijke HFC 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 GVVV 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
16 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
17 Rohda Raalte 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
18 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)