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Barendrecht vs HSV Hoek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sports Centre de Bongerd, Barendrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Vugts B.
(Penalty)
38'
Monster D.
46'
Sub
Steenpoorte M. In: Jalloh A.
Out: Steenpoorte M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tweede Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Barendrecht
20%
Draws
24%
HSV Hoek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barendrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barendrecht lately — more wins on the board than HSV Hoek.
  • Model gives Barendrecht a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 20%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barendrecht HSV Hoek
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs HSV Hoek
1:1
May 9, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs HSV Hoek
4:2
Nov 29, 2025 Tweede Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Barendrecht
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Barendrecht
1:3
Sep 30, 2023 Derde Divisie
Barendrecht vs HSV Hoek
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barendrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

HSV Hoek Compare

Top Goalscorer Bostdorp M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barendrecht 76 / 100
HSV Hoek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barendrecht HSV Hoek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barendrecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barendrecht found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

HSV Hoek has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Barendrecht stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barendrecht VS HSV Hoek
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barendrecht

(Home)
17 Oct
Barendrecht
4 : 1
AFC
10 Oct
De Treffers
4 : 0
Barendrecht
03 Oct
Barendrecht
3 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
26 Sept
Jong Almere City
1 : 4
Barendrecht
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
Page 1 of 6

HSV Hoek

(Away)
17 Oct
HSV Hoek
0 : 0
Kozakken Boys
10 Oct
AFC
2 : 0
HSV Hoek
03 Oct
HSV Hoek
3 : 1
De Treffers
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0
HSV Hoek
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2
Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 10 8 1 1 29:7 25
2 De Treffers 10 6 3 1 27:11 21
3 Kozakken Boys 10 6 3 1 25:12 21
4 IJsselmeervogels 10 6 1 3 14:9 19
5 Hardenberg 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
6 Barendrecht 10 5 2 3 19:17 17
7 GVVV 10 5 0 5 22:20 15
8 RKAV Volendam 10 4 3 3 20:20 15
9 Spakenburg 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 AFC 10 4 1 5 15:18 13
11 Rijnsburgse Boys 10 4 1 5 17:26 13
12 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 10 3 3 4 25:21 12
13 Katwijk 10 3 2 5 12:21 11
14 Jong Almere City 10 3 1 6 21:21 10
15 HSV Hoek 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Koninklijke HFC 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
17 VV Kloetinge 10 1 4 5 15:26 7
18 Rohda Raalte 10 0 1 9 9:32 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)