Sport Picks
Barendrecht vs HSV Hoek
Netherlands
Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sports Centre de Bongerd, Barendrecht 
Match Events
9'
9'
Vugts B.
Assist: Mrowicki O.
16'
16'
Bouihrouchane H.
Assist: Hebbelinck K.
30'
30'
Jongman J.
Assist: Vugts B.
AI Match Summary
Barendrecht in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barendrecht.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barendrecht
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Barendrecht average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of HSV Hoek's 1.62.
- Win probability leans Barendrecht's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barendrecht | HSV Hoek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs HSV Hoek
1:1
May 9, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs HSV Hoek
4:2
Nov 29, 2025 Tweede Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Barendrecht
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Barendrecht
1:3
Sep 30, 2023 Derde Divisie
Barendrecht vs HSV Hoek
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barendrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Vugts B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jongman J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
HSV Hoek Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouihrouchane H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Van Hauter R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barendrecht 47 / 100
HSV Hoek 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barendrecht HSV Hoek
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barendrecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
HSV Hoek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Barendrecht found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Solid form: Barendrecht remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Barendrecht VS HSV Hoek
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Barendrecht
(Home) 12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
05 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 3 Barendrecht
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2 Katwijk
22 Aug
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 2 Barendrecht
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3 Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2 Katwijk
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3 Hardenberg
23 May
Barendrecht
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
09 May
Barendrecht
4 : 2 HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 3
HSV Hoek
(Away) 12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1 HSV Hoek
29 Aug
HSV Hoek
0 : 2 Spakenburg
22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
15 Aug
HSV Hoek
3 : 1 Koninklijke HFC
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1 HSV Hoek
22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
23 May
De Treffers
2 : 2 HSV Hoek
09 May
Barendrecht
4 : 2 HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 69:35 | 66 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:37 | 63 |
| 3 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 60:37 | 63 |
| 4 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 58:44 | 56 |
| 6 | Spakenburg | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 72:60 | 56 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 60:55 | 52 |
| 8 | Jong Almere City | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 70:62 | 50 |
| 9 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 71:73 | 45 |
| 11 | AFC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:54 | 45 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 62:84 | 43 |
| 13 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 50:62 | 42 |
| 14 | GVVV | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:67 | 42 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 33:49 | 39 |
| 16 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 39:58 | 31 |
| 18 | ACV Assen | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 48:71 | 30 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
