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Barendrecht vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sports Centre de Bongerd, Barendrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Guit V.
Assist: Hanzen D.
11' Event
Hooreman F.
Assist: Brand J.
29'
Oukhattou M.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie game between Barendrecht and Jong Sparta Rotterdam finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barendrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Barendrecht
35%
Draws
23%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barendrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barendrecht come out ahead of Jong Sparta Rotterdam on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Barendrecht's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barendrecht Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.86 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Barendrecht
4:1
Nov 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Barendrecht
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barendrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Hooreman F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bakour M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Jong Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Guit V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giersthove D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barendrecht 47 / 100
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barendrecht Jong Sparta Rotterdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barendrecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barendrecht found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Jong Sparta Rotterdam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Barendrecht went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barendrecht VS Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Barendrecht

(Home)
03 Oct
Barendrecht
3 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
26 Sept
Jong Almere City
1 : 4
Barendrecht
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
RKAV Volendam
1 : 1
Barendrecht
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 6

Jong Sparta Rotterdam

(Away)
03 Oct
Barendrecht
3 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0
HSV Hoek
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
05 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
2 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 8 7 0 1 22:6 21
2 Kozakken Boys 8 5 2 1 23:12 17
3 De Treffers 8 4 3 1 20:9 15
4 Hardenberg 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
5 Barendrecht 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
6 IJsselmeervogels 7 4 1 2 10:5 13
7 Spakenburg 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
8 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 3 2 23:15 12
9 Katwijk 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
10 AFC 8 3 1 4 12:14 10
11 Rijnsburgse Boys 8 3 1 4 15:22 10
12 GVVV 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
13 HSV Hoek 8 2 3 3 11:13 9
14 RKAV Volendam 8 2 3 3 10:17 9
15 Jong Almere City 8 2 1 5 15:17 7
16 Koninklijke HFC 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
17 VV Kloetinge 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
18 Rohda Raalte 8 0 1 7 7:23 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)