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Barendrecht vs Katwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sports Centre de Bongerd, Barendrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Brenna M.
Assist: Tiebosch G.
42' Event
Brenna M.
Assist: Tiebosch G.
46'
Sub
Aissaoui L. In: Suleiman M.
Out: Aissaoui L.

AI Match Summary

Katwijk in this Tweede Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Katwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Barendrecht
20%
Draws
23%
Katwijk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barendrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Barendrecht average 1.79 goals a game right now, well clear of Katwijk's 1.69.
  • Win probability leans Barendrecht's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Katwijk here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 18%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barendrecht Katwijk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Katwijk
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Katwijk
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Barendrecht
4:3
Feb 1, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Katwijk
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Barendrecht
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barendrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Katwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenna M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barendrecht 85 / 100
Katwijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barendrecht Katwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barendrecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Katwijk conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Barendrecht's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Barendrecht stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barendrecht VS Katwijk
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barendrecht

(Home)
10 Oct
De Treffers
4 : 0
Barendrecht
03 Oct
Barendrecht
3 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
26 Sept
Jong Almere City
1 : 4
Barendrecht
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
RKAV Volendam
1 : 1
Barendrecht
Page 1 of 6

Katwijk

(Away)
10 Oct
Quick Boys
6 : 0
Katwijk
03 Oct
Katwijk
1 : 5
Kozakken Boys
26 Sept
AFC
0 : 1
Katwijk
19 Sept
Katwijk
1 : 2
De Treffers
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 9 8 0 1 28:6 24
2 Kozakken Boys 9 6 2 1 25:12 20
3 De Treffers 9 5 3 1 24:9 18
4 IJsselmeervogels 8 5 1 2 12:5 16
5 Hardenberg 9 4 3 2 18:15 15
6 Barendrecht 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
7 AFC 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
8 Spakenburg 9 4 1 4 11:14 13
9 GVVV 8 4 0 4 18:18 12
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 9 3 3 3 24:19 12
11 RKAV Volendam 9 3 3 3 18:19 12
12 Katwijk 9 3 2 4 11:19 11
13 Jong Almere City 9 3 1 5 19:18 10
14 Rijnsburgse Boys 9 3 1 5 16:26 10
15 HSV Hoek 9 2 3 4 11:15 9
16 VV Kloetinge 9 1 4 4 14:24 7
17 Koninklijke HFC 9 1 3 5 11:18 6
18 Rohda Raalte 9 0 1 8 9:31 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)