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Barendrecht vs Katwijk

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sports Centre de Bongerd, Barendrecht
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barendrecht host Katwijk in the Tweede Divisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Katwijk have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Barendrecht have conceded 2.32 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, Barendrecht have won 0 to Katwijk's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.69 - 2.50) back Katwijk to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Barendrecht
20%
Draws
40%
Katwijk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Katwijk have won more games recently than Barendrecht.
  • Win probability leans Katwijk's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • History favors Katwijk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barendrecht Katwijk
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Katwijk
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Barendrecht
4:3
Feb 1, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Katwijk
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Barendrecht
4:1
Apr 20, 2019 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Katwijk
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barendrecht 18 / 100
Katwijk 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barendrecht Katwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Katwijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Katwijk conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Barendrecht's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Katwijk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Barendrecht VS Katwijk
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Barendrecht

(Home)
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
04 Aug
SV Poortugaal
2 : 2
Barendrecht
23 May
Barendrecht
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
16 May
RKAV Volendam
5 : 2
Barendrecht
09 May
Barendrecht
4 : 2
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 6

Katwijk

(Away)
15 Aug
Spakenburg
1 : 0
Katwijk
04 Aug
Lisse
2 : 1
Katwijk
11 Jul
Katwijk
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
23 May
Katwijk
4 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
16 May
Spakenburg
2 : 1
Katwijk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Quick Boys 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
4 Jong Almere City 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Hardenberg 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
6 HSV Hoek 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 VV Kloetinge 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
8 IJsselmeervogels 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
9 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Katwijk 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 AFC 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Koninklijke HFC 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 GVVV 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
16 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
17 Rohda Raalte 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
18 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)