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Stadium Background

Bari U19 vs Ascoli U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 2
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Scarano G.
55' Event
Raimondo T.
83'
Tocchi L.

AI Match Summary

Bari U19 in this Primavera 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bari U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Bari U19
20%
Draws
7%
Ascoli U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bari U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bari U19 lately — more wins on the board than Ascoli U19.
  • Bari U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primavera 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Bari U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Ascoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari U19 Ascoli U19
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.39 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.32 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Ascoli U19
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Bari U19
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Bari U19
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bari U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarano G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felice G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ascoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Raimondo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari U19 85 / 100
Ascoli U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari U19 Ascoli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ascoli U19 conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bari U19 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bari U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bari U19 VS Ascoli U19
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari U19

(Home)
07 Nov
Bari U19
2 : 0
Monopoli U19
01 Nov
Pisa U19
1 : 2
Bari U19
27 Oct
Torino U20
1 : 2
Bari U19
24 Oct
Bari U19
0 : 1
Pescara U19
17 Oct
Bari U19
1 : 1
Napoli U19
Page 1 of 7

Ascoli U19

(Away)
07 Nov
Catanzaro U19
1 : 1
Ascoli U19
31 Oct
Ascoli U19
0 : 1
Avellino U19
24 Oct
Ascoli U19
0 : 2
Monopoli U19
17 Oct
Pisa U19
4 : 1
Ascoli U19
10 Oct
Pescara U19
5 : 2
Ascoli U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renate U19 8 5 3 0 15:7 18
2 Venezia U19 8 5 1 2 15:9 16
3 Sampdoria U19 8 4 3 1 21:11 15
4 Cremonese U19 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
5 Vicenza U19 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Lecco U19 8 4 2 2 10:12 14
7 Entella U19 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
8 Udinese U19 8 4 0 4 15:16 12
9 Padova U19 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
10 Union Brescia U19 8 2 3 3 10:15 9
11 Modena U19 8 2 2 4 14:14 8
12 Mantova U19 8 1 5 2 9:13 8
13 Pro Vercelli U19 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
14 Cittadella U19 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
15 Sudtirol U19 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
16 Reggiana U19 8 0 2 6 2:12 2
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Catanzaro U19 8 6 2 0 20:7 20
2 Benevento U19 8 6 1 1 21:7 19
3 Perugia U19 8 6 0 2 21:6 18
4 Palermo U19 8 4 4 0 13:8 16
5 Bari U19 8 4 3 1 13:6 15
6 Avellino U19 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
7 Monopoli U19 8 3 3 2 12:9 12
8 Latina U19 8 3 2 3 15:12 11
9 Pescara U19 8 3 2 3 17:17 11
10 Napoli U19 8 2 4 2 10:10 10
11 Spezia U19 8 3 1 4 12:14 10
12 Pisa U19 8 2 1 5 11:14 7
13 Frosinone U19 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
14 Cosenza U19 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
15 Ascoli U19 8 0 3 5 8:18 3
16 Salernitana U19 8 0 2 6 5:24 2
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)