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Bari vs Castel di Sangro

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Pereiro G.
20' Event
Pagano R.
23' Event
Rao E.

AI Match Summary

Bari in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 17-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bari
30%
Draws
6%
Castel di Sangro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bari lately — more wins on the board than Castel di Sangro.
  • Bari are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bari have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Bari Clean Sheet 20%
Castel di Sangro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari Castel di Sangro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.43 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.37 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Bari vs Castel di Sangro
17:0
Jun 15, 1997 Serie B
Bari vs Castel di Sangro
3:1
Jan 26, 1997 Serie B
Castel di Sangro vs Bari
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bari Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzari G.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Pagano R.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Castel di Sangro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari 85 / 100
Castel di Sangro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari Castel di Sangro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castel di Sangro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 8.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Bari remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Castel di Sangro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bari VS Castel di Sangro
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 24
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari

(Home)
28 Jul
Lanciano
0 : 1
Bari
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
15 May
Bari
0 : 0
Sudtirol
08 May
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Bari
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
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Castel di Sangro

(Away)
19 Jul
Avellino
24 : 0
Castel di Sangro
20 Jul
Bari
17 : 0
Castel di Sangro
19 Jul
Avellino
25 : 0
Castel di Sangro
15 May
Castel di Sangro
2 : 2
Rende
08 May
Morro d'Oro Calcio
3 : 2
Castel di Sangro
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