Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bari vs Entella

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio San Nicola, Bari
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Odenthal C.
45' Event
Moncini G.
Assist: Braunoder M.
53'
Verreth M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Bari and Entella finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Bari
20%
Draws
28%
Entella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Entella's 0.93 goals per match outpaces what Bari have produced (0.9).
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Bari taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bari Clean Sheet 68%
Entella Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari Entella
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Serie B
Bari vs Entella
2:0
Sep 30, 2025 Serie B
Entella vs Bari
2:2
Apr 27, 2018 Serie B
Bari vs Entella
1:0
Dec 3, 2017 Serie B
Entella vs Bari
3:1
Mar 4, 2017 Serie B
Entella vs Bari
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bari Compare

Top Goalscorer Moncini G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maggiore G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Entella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari 86 / 100
Entella 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari Entella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Entella conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Bari remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Entella lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bari VS Entella
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari

(Home)
28 Jul
Lanciano
0 : 1
Bari
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
15 May
Bari
0 : 0
Sudtirol
08 May
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Bari
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
Page 1 of 6

Entella

(Away)
08 Aug
Entella
0 : 1
Carrarese
05 Aug
Entella
2 : 1
Novara
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)