Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Elia M.
31'
31'
Coppola G.
(Penalty)
1'
1'
Abreu L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bari lately — more wins on the board than Picerno.
- Win probability leans Bari's way, sitting at 36%.
- Bari have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bari, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Bari have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bari Clean Sheet 20%
Picerno Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bari | Picerno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Bari vs Picerno
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Bari vs Picerno
3:0
Feb 22, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Bari vs Picerno
1:0
Sep 12, 2021 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Bari
0:1
Feb 16, 2020 Serie C - Group C
Bari vs Picerno
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bari Compare
Top Goalscorer Elia M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Picerno Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bari 36 / 100
Picerno 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bari Picerno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Bari remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Bari's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Picerno conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Bari VS Picerno
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bari
(Home) 19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2 Bari
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3 Bari
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1 Picerno
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1 Picerno
21 Aug
Bari
3 : 0 Cavese
16 Aug
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
Page 1 of 3
Picerno
(Away) 19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1 Picerno
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4 Catania
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0 Picerno
07 Sept
Picerno
4 : 1 Inter U23
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1 Picerno
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1 Picerno
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0 Picerno
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1 Picerno
28 Aug
Scafatese
0 : 2 Picerno
19 Apr
Salernitana
2 : 1 Picerno
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
