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Bari vs Scafatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio San Nicola, Bari
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bari host Scafatese in the Serie C - Group C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Bari at 1.25 goals for, 1.04 against; Scafatese at 2.11 for, 1.14 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.00, favoring Scafatese. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bari
35%
Draws
31%
Scafatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scafatese come out ahead of Bari on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bari taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bari Clean Sheet 20%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari Scafatese
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.25 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari 36 / 100
Scafatese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari Scafatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bari scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Scafatese conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Bari has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bari VS Scafatese
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari

(Home)
18 Oct
Bari
0 : 0
Crotone
10 Oct
Bari
2 : 0
Giugliano
04 Oct
Salernitana
2 : 1
Bari
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Cosenza
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
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Scafatese

(Away)
17 Oct
Salernitana
2 : 2
Scafatese
11 Oct
Scafatese
3 : 2
Sorrento
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0
Altamura
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
2 Bari 10 6 2 2 13:6 20
3 Sorrento 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
4 Audace Cerignola 10 5 2 3 18:9 17
5 Catania 10 5 1 4 18:12 16
6 Casertana 10 4 4 2 15:13 16
7 Cavese 10 4 3 3 20:17 15
8 Monopoli 10 4 3 3 11:9 15
9 Scafatese 9 3 5 1 15:13 14
10 Salernitana 10 3 5 2 14:12 14
11 Inter U23 9 4 1 4 18:17 13
12 Picerno 10 4 0 6 17:18 12
13 Barletta 10 2 5 3 13:15 11
14 Foggia 10 3 2 5 10:13 11
15 Casarano 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
16 Altamura 10 3 2 5 7:14 11
17 A.C. Savoia 10 2 4 4 11:16 10
18 Giugliano 10 3 1 6 15:23 10
19 Cosenza 10 1 2 7 8:22 5
20 Crotone 10 1 4 5 10:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)