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Bari vs Spezia

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio San Nicola, Bari
Bari Logo

Bari

0 - 0
FT
Spezia Logo

Spezia

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Bonfanti G.
25'
Sub
Verreth M. In: Braunoder M.
Out: Verreth M.
58'
Sub
Bonfanti G. In: Beruatto P.
Out: Bonfanti G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Bari and Spezia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bari
35%
Draws
23%
Spezia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Medium Confidence
  • Spezia's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Bari have produced (1.13).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bari Clean Sheet 68%
Spezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari Spezia
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Serie B
Bari vs Spezia
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Serie B
Spezia vs Bari
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Serie B
Bari vs Spezia
2:0
Oct 25, 2024 Serie B
Spezia vs Bari
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Serie B
Bari vs Spezia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari 41 / 100
Spezia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari Spezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spezia let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Bari went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bari's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bari VS Spezia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari

(Home)
28 Jul
Lanciano
0 : 1
Bari
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
15 May
Bari
0 : 0
Sudtirol
08 May
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Bari
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
Page 1 of 7

Spezia

(Away)
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1
Spezia
08 May
Pescara
1 : 1
Spezia
01 May
Spezia
2 : 2
Venezia
25 Apr
Catanzaro
4 : 2
Spezia
18 Apr
Spezia
6 : 1
Sudtirol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)