Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bari vs Sudtirol

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio San Nicola, Bari
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Verdi S.
15'
Kofler R.
46'
Sub
Verdi S. In: Merkaj S.
Out: Verdi S.

AI Match Summary

Sudtirol in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sudtirol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bari
35%
Draws
32%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Sudtirol have won more games recently than Bari.
  • Sudtirol are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Bari Clean Sheet 27%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari Sudtirol
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0
May 15, 2026 Serie B
Bari vs Sudtirol
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Serie B
Bari vs Sudtirol
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0
May 13, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bari Compare

Top Goalscorer Rao E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Merkaj S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari 25 / 100
Sudtirol 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bari went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bari scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Sudtirol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bari VS Sudtirol
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari

(Home)
16 Aug
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
28 Jul
Lanciano
0 : 1
Bari
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
15 May
Bari
0 : 0
Sudtirol
08 May
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Bari
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Sudtirol

(Away)
15 Aug
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Sudtirol
07 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Virtus Verona
28 Jul
Sudtirol
7 : 0
ASC St. Georgen
25 Jul
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Kaiserslautern
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)