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Barkchi Hisor vs Khujand Prediction & H2H Stats

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ergashev D.

AI Match Summary

Khujand in this Vysshaya Liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khujand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Barkchi Hisor
35%
Draws
36%
Khujand
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Khujand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Barkchi Hisor have won more games recently than Khujand.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Barkchi Hisor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Barkchi Hisor Clean Sheet 68%
Khujand Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barkchi Hisor Khujand
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Khujand
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Khujand
0:1
Apr 25, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Barkchi Hisor
1:1
Nov 6, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Barkchi Hisor
2:0
May 5, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Khujand
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barkchi Hisor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Khujand Compare

Top Goalscorer Ergashev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barkchi Hisor 50 / 100
Khujand 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barkchi Hisor Khujand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barkchi Hisor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Barkchi Hisor stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Barkchi Hisor's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Khujand's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Barkchi Hisor VS Khujand
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barkchi Hisor

(Home)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
27 Jun
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 2
Vakhsh
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Khujand

(Away)
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
27 Jun
Eskhata
0 : 1
Khujand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 22 15 5 2 58:18 50
2 Vakhsh 22 12 9 1 33:18 45
3 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 10 7 5 38:23 37
4 Ravshan Kulob 22 8 11 3 26:20 35
5 Khujand 22 9 4 9 24:25 31
6 Regar-TadAZ 22 8 6 8 25:24 30
7 Eskhata 22 7 9 6 31:30 30
8 Barkchi Hisor 22 6 9 7 22:20 27
9 Khosilot Parkhar 22 6 6 10 27:38 24
10 Istaravshan 22 4 7 11 23:42 19
11 Hulbuk 22 2 7 13 15:39 13
12 Panjsher 22 2 6 14 16:41 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)