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Barkchi Hisor vs Sardor Tursunzoda Prediction & H2H Stats

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barkchi Hisor in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barkchi Hisor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Barkchi Hisor
35%
Draws
23%
Sardor Tursunzoda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barkchi Hisor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barkchi Hisor lately — more wins on the board than Sardor Tursunzoda.
  • Win probability leans Barkchi Hisor's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Barkchi Hisor Clean Sheet 18%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barkchi Hisor Sardor Tursunzoda
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 11 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Sardor Tursunzoda
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Sardor Tursunzoda vs Barkchi Hisor
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barkchi Hisor 76 / 100
Sardor Tursunzoda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barkchi Hisor Sardor Tursunzoda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barkchi Hisor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardor Tursunzoda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 18 matches.

Recent resilience: Barkchi Hisor stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Barkchi Hisor's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Barkchi Hisor VS Sardor Tursunzoda
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barkchi Hisor

(Home)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
27 Jun
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 2
Vakhsh
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Sardor Tursunzoda

(Away)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
31 Jul
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2 : 4
Sardor Tursunzoda
28 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)